I had made mention back on monday that  a storm system this weekend was our best chance yet for some measureable snow. I had kept my eye on it all week and now models are converging on a solution that would spell a snow to mix scenario. It now looks like several inches of snow will fall before changining over to a mix. There is still a lot of time left for the storm to bounce arounda bit  and a jump of 50 miles north or south will make the difference in less snow and more rain  vs all snow and upwards of 6 inches . At first guess this looks like the further north you go the more snow you will see in fact it can be the case where the turnpike it the dividing lines between all snow vs a mix of rain and snow. in the past 24 hours the models have trended colder which is good if you like snow. I will continue to keep an eye on the developing storm and have a first map out by late tonight or tomorrow am.  Also do not be suprised if you see some snow/ snow showers this evening which could lay a coating to a inch in some locations... 

Accu- Squeeg

 So for the past 40 days since my original winter forecast was launched on December 1st we have been about  3 degrees  warmer then i thought and about 6 inches less snow then i had thought at this point in time. the fact is............. it's been too warm and there has been little snow. But can things change around big time for the second half of winter.... That still remains to be seen but  as that far in the future is too tough to predict. The weather pattern is going to change and in a big way starting early Friday morning. The signal so far this winter have not been the best for snow lovers. There are many signs that have been taking place over the past 2 weeks and still currently that reflect a change back to true winter conditions or lets say normal temperatures and at least some chances at snow. 

My honest opinion and gut feeling about the period from Jan 15th - Mar 1  is simple.... Cold relative to average, Snowy  relative to average and typical winter conditions for the next 45 or so days. That does not mean that every storm will be snow or we won't see another 45,55, or 60 degree day. It simply means  do not expect the same weather conditions that we have seen since early November. Things are changing  and in a very quick way ............ My original forecast for this winter is above normal temperatures (which is so far so good ) and normal snowfall (which is so far a bust with only 6 inches to date( Oct 30 storm).

So moral or the story is this... If you like cold and snow enjoy the chances mother natures gives us over the next 45 days. If you like the warm weather we have been experiencing you will need to wait until march and April to see that again(for an extended period). 

First line of duty is the early Friday morning into early afternoon. This is when the Arctic cold front will pass through and change things up . Here is the deal. There is a chance for a " Squall Line"  like we experience in summer thunderstorms to develop, this would start as some rain and then transition into some snow  with the potential for a  coating to an inch or 2 ... ok so you say big deal .... Well yes and here is the reason why . Temperatures will  fall rapidly from the low 40's to mid to upper 20's in a 2-3 hours period , meaning what ever falls from the sky will rapidly freeze on all non treated roads and potentially screwing with travel big time. As more develops i will keep you in the loop. For quick updates friend me on facebook  @ 

http://www.facebook.com/accu.squeege

Until then ....

Ac cu-Squeegee